Only one week into the season I would like to raise a point that we may be looking at a changing of the guard in the 3rd base position. Not that it would be dramatic, but it would definately benefit owners who took Longoria about 15-20 picks later than Wright.
What they both offer in real life is great defense, good character, young, athletic and talented. In the world of fantasy we have two guys with very similar numbers. Power – I would give the nod to Longoria. With 27 bombs in 4 months last year he displayed what he is capable of on the Major League level. Speed – This goes to Wright who should steal 5-10 more bases annually than Longoria. Average – This goes to Wright, only because Longoria has yet to bat .300 in the Majors, but I do feel this gap will close rapidly. RBI and RS – I would have to call a draw because they both hit on good teams in similar spots of the lineup.
Ultimately the decision comes down to HR and SB, who offers more. My intuition tells me that by year ends their numbers will look something like this
Longoria .292 36hr 104rs 117rbi 9sb Wright .307 27hr 108rs 113rbi 17sb With numbers like these the slight bump goes toward David Wright and his +8sb. If that gap were to close to say 5sb then my edge goes toward Longoria.
For what its worth, right now I would trade Longoria to acquire David Wright straight up. My reason being that Wright has better numbers left and Longoria will not continue at a pace of 145hr. No matter who you choose, you won’t be wrong.
In other news….
- Elijah Dukes now has a starting position in Washington. His combination of speed and power makes him an intriguing pick up in roto formats. With the addition of Dukes comes the subtraction of Lastings Milledge who was sent to the minors.
- Ryan Franklin closed the game last night and its likely he is going to get some opportunities in St. Louis. If your looking for saves, he could be a nice pick up.
- Jon Lester took another beating last night at the hands of Oakland. Pitchers usually take longer to shake the cobwebs than batters do. If you can you might want to bench him next start until he rights the ship; but you always run the risk of missing a gem.
- Some other pitchers who had rough outings are Randy Johnson and Chien-Ming Wang. In fact neither has thrown well since the season started. It’s not time to throw the towel in, but monitor progress. It should be noted that Wang is down 6mph on his power sinker.
- I recently added Dexter Fowler in a 15 team no bench roto league, and I’m excited about that pick up. First, I don’t see Seth Smith holding Fowler off for playing time. Second, Fowler has batted leadoff for the Rockies, can run and has a little pop.
- Josh Johnson is rewarding owners who drafted him as a 3rd starter with ace numbers. I for one feel that Johnson will be excellent all year and if someone wants to sell high, this is a guy you can buy because his stats wont sink.
- Mark Teixeira missed another game and could be in danger of landing on the DL. Wrists are tricky business, just ask Derrek Lee, Nomar Garciapara and Big Papi all good hitters who suffered a major wrist injury. Right now Tex doesn’t have a major injury and a DL stint may help to keep it that way.