Tag Archives: Fantasy Advice

Wieters being sent down…

by mrCane

According to CBSsportsline.com Matt Wieters is being reassigned Sunday to Triple A.  This doesn’t come as a shock to fantasy owners.  People have been drafting Wieters in spite of the fact that the catcher would possible miss the first couple months of the season.

Fantasy Advice:  Depending on the type of league your in, Wieters should be taking as a top 10 fantasy option.  Keeper leagues he is an absolute must.  Leagues with deep benches that would allow you to wait on him he is a great option as well.  He could make an Evan Longoria type impact at the catcher position by the end of the year.

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Filed under Draft Position, Position Analysis, Uncategorized

Evaluating Trades

mrCane

Probably one of the gray areas in fantasy baseball even amongst friends is whether or not trades are fair.  Now lets be honest, the idea is to give up as little as you can and get the most in return.  If I can trade a hot John Danks for a cold Dan Haren, I’m going to do it.  As long as no managers involved are undermining the league, or as we in fantasy say “in cahoot’s”, then managers should be allowed to trade who they wish.  When you have more seasoned owners, trades like this don’t take place.  So to acquire good players you need to trade something in return.  You need to identify your teams needs and match them as best you can with other teams to find a good fit.  The most successful owners can think more than one step ahead and use one trade to spring another.  Here a couple trades I saw recently that were worth examining.  At face value they don’t look fair.  But many times in fantasy we can’t look at these things in a vacuum.

Ryan Howard straight up for Edison Volquez. 

I’ll start by saying I’m not a fan of Volquez this year, especially not for Ryan Howard.  But, it is important to understand what kind of league we are looking at.  In a mixed 5×5 Howard is a monster and Volquez, though very good is not a top 20 pitcher.  So what are some of the reasons an owner would make a trade like this.   They might be in a league where pitching is heavily favored.   Most leagues you find will wait on pitching in drafts, this league could be different.  In shallow leagues, say an 8 team you can find a very good 1B at eighth on the depth chart (Justin Morneau, Adrian Gonzales or Kevin Youkilis) so that could be a factor.  There is a chance that the league is required to pitch a high number of innings, that requires more starters, therefore SP hold more value.   We can’t always look at everything in a vacuum remember.

Fantasy Advice:  I wouldn’t have made the trade but then again I’m not a big Volquez fan.  If I’m trading a top 20 player I’m getting a top 10 pitcher in return.  Most important, know your league and the owners in it!

David Wright and Randy Winn  for Adrian Gonzales, Alexi Ramirez and Magglio Ordonez. 

This looks to me like highway robbery.  We are getting 3 top 50 players for the price of a top 5 player.  We need to understand both teams rosters, league rules and scoring to get a full grasp of how this can benefit both teams.  If the team acquiring Wright has great depth but lacks that superstar, trading surplus to address a need a third makes sense.  I think getting a player other than Randy Winn should have been attempted, maybe it was. 

Fantasy Advice:  If I’m trading David Wright for those guys I’m excited.  Alexi Ramirez could be a top producer behind the big 3 at short and he still qualifies in most leagues at 2B.  Again, if I’m the team acquiring David Wright I want someone with more upside than Randy Winn….Justin Upton, Adam Jones come to mind.

Last year Ryan Braun, Ryan Howard, Carlos Beltran, Brad Hawpe, CC Sabathia and Roy Oswalt all got off to bad starts.  Making trades to acquire these guys while their stock was low could have been a huge payoff.  This year, look for those slow starters with good track records.  Chances are if you like them now one bad month shouldn’t change your mind about them.  Just know good owners won’t trade them for .50 cents on the dollar, but .85 cents on the dollar is a nice return.

As the season moves along we at Fantasy Baseball Advisors would like to offer our fantasy trade advice just email us at fantasyadvisors@gmail.com with all trading needs.

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2008 Busts….2009 Musts

by mrCane

Last year there were a number of players who broke your heart shortly after the season started.  Some of those players are worth the price of admission this year, some stay clear of, a couple you might not even remember.

In no particular order;

David Ortiz – Big Papi started slow and never got going.  The wrist injury didn’t help matters.  Fantasy Advice:  Papi should be good for about 30 homeruns and 100 rbi with a .290 batting average…he is on the decline.

Curtis Granderson – Had a difficult start to the season but finished strong.  I don’t buy into Granderson, he can’t hit lefties, he’s 28 and is getting slower?  Fantasy Advice:  Don’t buy, his price will be too high for what you get.

Garret Atkins – Uhhgg!  He’ll play because Todd Helton needs a new back.   His walk to strikeout ration plummeted last year (40/100).  Fantasy Advice:  Don’t buy.

Aaron Harrang – Had some injuries to deal with and never seemed to right the ship.  Fantasy Advice – He’ll be back, buy buy buy low.

Johnny Cueto – Remember the press around this kid after spring training?  He’s got a great arm, just needs experience.  Fantasy Advice – Take a chance, he’ll be a bargain.

Alex Gordon – I don’t know what to say about Gordon.  He has tons of talent but like Granderson he can’t hit lefties well.  Fantasy Advice – take him at a good price but he might be expensive because of name recognition.

Delmon Young – Fantasy Advice – stay away

Phil Hughes – Disappointing year for the talented righty.  Fantasy Advice:  Buy low and watch your investment soar.

Howie Kendrick – People have so many expectations for Kendrick, not me.  Fantasy Advice – pick him up off waivers in July when comes off the DL.

Adam Miller – He was on everyone’s radar last year but this year he’s not on anyone’s.  Fantasy Advice:   Keep track of what he does this spring, he could end up contributing if he get’s the walks under control.

Other guys who were busts last year and who’s production I don’t see turning around;  Rickie Weeks, Eric Byrnes, Todd Helton, Dontrelle Willis, Carlos Guillen, Jeff Francoer, Ryan Zimmerman.

Some names from this year who will be drafted too high and should be considered possible busts;

Ian Kinsler, Chris Davis, Joe Mauer, Nate McClouth, Fafael Furcal, Carlos Pena,  Dan Uggla, Carlos Delgado, Rich Harden, AJ Burnett, Jose Valverde, Joba Chamberlain and Derek Jeter.

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