Tag Archives: Kyle Davies

Week 2 Two Start Pitchers

By nichols33

For those of you planning your lineups in leagues where you set your lineup on a weekly basis (Mon to Sun), here are the two start pitchers for next week (April 13th to the 19th):

Must Starts: Scott Kazmir (vs NYY; vs CHW), Jon Lester (@ Oak; vs Bal), Chad Billingsly (vs SF; vs Col), Yovani Gallardo (vs Cin; @ NYM), Edinson Volquez (@ Mil; @ Hou), A.J. Burnett (@TB; vs Cle), Zack Greinke (vs Cle; @ Tex), Gavin Floyd (@ Det; @ TB), Ted Lilly (vs Col; vs StL), Chris Carpenter (@ Ari; @ ChC), Javier Vazquez (vs Fla; @ Pit), Kevin Slowey (vs Tor; vs Ana), Mike Pelfrey (vs SD; vs Mil)

Start under most circumstances: Chien-Ming Wang (@TB; vs Cle), John Danks (@ Det; @ TB), Matt Garza (vs NYY; vs ChW), Ubaldo Jimenez (@ ChC; @ LAD), Randy Johnson (@ LAD; vs Ari), Chris Volstad (@ Atl; @ Was), Kyle Davies (vs Cle; @ Tex), Glen Perkins (vs Tor; vs Ana)

Worth a gamble if you need a 5th starter for the week: Max Scherzer (vs StL; @ SF), Jamie Moyer (@ Was; vs SD), Vicente Padilla (vs Bal; vs KC), Zach Duke (vs Hou; vs Atl)

Seek better options: Fausto Carmona (@ KC; @ NYY), Koji Uehara (@ Tex; @ Bos), Jesse Litsch (@ Min; vs Oak), Todd Wellemeyer (@ Ari; @ ChC), Zach Minor (vs ChW; @ Sea)

You are crazy to start: Dallas Braden (vs Bos; @ Tor), Ricky Romero (@ Min; vs OAK), Doug Davis (vs StL; @ SF), Daniel Cabrera (vs Phi; vs Fla), Carl Pavano (@ KC; @ NYY); Walter Silva (@ NYM; @ Phi), Brian Moehler (@ Pit; vs Cin), Carlos Silva (vs Ana; vs Det), Shane Loux (@ Sea; @ Min)

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AL at a Glance 4/9

by mrCane

Before we start this, I want to point out that everything we know can end without warning.  Nick Adenhart, a 22 year old pitcher from the Anaheim Angels was killed this morning when his car was struck by a van.  I obviously don’t know Nick, his friends, his family but want to acknowledge the tradgedy of what took place.  No one deserves to pass at the age of 22.

So far in this young season there have some performers who have stood out.  Many are people you would expect by their draft position, others are nice surprises.  Some we can expect this trend to continue, while others are much less likely to continue with their current performance.

Adam Lind has 2 HR including his 6rbi game against Detroit.  He is a kid I expect will continue his current trend, though not at this pace.  Two Detroit pitchers, Justin Verlander and Rick Porcello, have had very similar results.  The difference between the two is many owners drafted Verlander as a top 40 pitcher while Porcello in any league but a keeper probably went undrafted.  Fantasy Advice:  Ride the Lind wave, I feel like he is going to have a very good year; say 20hr 85rbi.  Verlander you should dump and get as much as you can from any owner willing to pay for the name.  Porcello is a guy strictly for keepers as he plays on a team with an awful bullpen.

Most of the Minnesota pitching staff has been medicore, which is suprising because they were at home against a lowly Mariners offense.  Glen Perkins was the one exception going 8IP 1ER.  Brandon Morrow finally got his first save of the year after his loss of control in his first appearance.  Fantasy Advice:  I like all the Minnesota pitchers, mostly for matchups.  Francisco Liriano, Scott Baker, Kevin Slowey are all guys I start every week.  Glen Perkins and Nick Blackburn are decent larger mixed league options for the right match up.

A couple things I want to point out from the Orioles verse Yankees series.  An offense of Brian Robers, Adam Jones, Nick Markakis and Aubrey Huff will cause fits for many of the teams in the AL EAST, and this is without Matt Wieters who hasn’t been called up yet.   Adam Jones in particular looked good, driving the ball to right center off Sabathia.  While CC looked bad, AJ Burnett was able to be quite effective going 51/3 IP with 6 strike outs.  The notoriously slow starters Robinson Cano and Mark Teixeira both homered.  Nick Swisher even got the start and took advantage with a home run of his own.  Fantasy Advice:  Jump on the Jones bandwagon, I have been since spring training.  He will be 20/20 this year.  Be patient with CC but Burnett is a guy I never like on my team, deal him after a few good outings and avoid the DL stint.

Tampa Bay pitchers Matt Garza and Scott Kazmir looked great against the Red Sox.  With James Shields Tampa has 3 top 30 starting pitchers.  Throw in the ever steady Andy Sonnanstine and David Price waiting in the wings; Tampa has the horses to repeat as Division champs.  David Ortiz performance thus far is discouraging, even with the very small sample size.  The Red Sox and fantasy homers need Big Papi to approach 30hr this year to justify his draft day value.  Fantasy Advice:  Look for a guy like Garza, you might be able to still get him cheap, you won’t in a couple weeks.  If you can get some name recognition from a Big Papi fan, deal the slugger away.  It kills me as a sox fan but I think Ortiz is only good for 25hr this year, not worth his draft day price.

Kyle Davies was a source of hype as a sleeper pitcher and he lived up to that bill in his first start.  Unfortunately he was matched pitch by pitch by John Danks.  Jim Thome was a slugger I targeted late on draft day.  I feel Thome is a lock for 30hr with the possibilty of hitting more depending on his health.  The Royals pitching with Meche, Grienke and Davies is actually a formidable 1, 2, 3 combination with a closer to slam the door.  Fantasy Advice:  Danks I like to be a top 35 pitcher by years end and Davies seems like a viable larger mix league option now. 

The Cleveland Indians will not win the AL Central.  They don’t have the pitching to pull it off.  Carl Pavano is their third starter and Cliff Lee will regress from last years stellar performance.  Their offense is good, evidence by Grady Sizemores 2 hr game, but not great with lots of guys who strike out.  Kevin Millwood looked good in his first outing and has an offense to back him up.  Nelson Cruz is on the board with a 2 hr game, he may have finally arrived.  Fantasy Advice:  Sell sell sell Cliff Lee if you can, while I don’t think is as bad as his first start, I do see a 4 ERA and 12 wins, not what you expect if you draft him as your number 1 pitcher.  Kelly Shoppach is the guy behind the plate, check your waiver wire for a 20hr catcher. 

It didn’t take long for Brian Fuentes to raise doubts about his ability to close games in the AL.  With two great arms in back of him (Jose Arredondo, Scott Shields) he won’t have much of a leash with Mike Scioscia.  Oaklands young guns, Trevor Cahill and Brett Anderson, are both in the starting rotation and Brad Ziegler is the closer with Joey Devine out of the picture and in Dr. Andrews office.  Fantasy Advice:  I’m not sold on Fuentes, if you have a spot on your bench I would grab Arredondo.  Stay away from the young Oakland pitchers, though they will have good outings, they will be inconsistent and frustrating.

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AL at a Glance..

by mrCane

Brett Gardner (OF NYY) was able to beat out Melky Cabrera to start in CF for the Bombers.  This is significant because Gardner as the ability to wipe 30 bags with regular playing time.  Fantasy Advice:  Pick this guy up off waivers in larger  Roto leagues for his SB potential.

News out of Cleveland is that Kelly Shoppach is only going to start 2 or 3 days a week.  This isn’t great news for a starting C.  Fantasy Advice:  Hold on to Shoppach because otherwise they are going to have to find Ryan Garko a spot in the lineup, this would not be the best option for the Indians.  Shoppach should register more than 400 AB, plenty for a catcher.

Mark Teahen (OF KC) continues to rake and has even chipped in 3 SB with his 6 hr.  Teahen has teased before, but some ballplayers take longer to develop.  Fantasy Advice:  Teahen is probably available in your leage. He could be a good pickup as a 4th outfielder.

Chris Davis (3B Tex) continues to put his slow start behind him.  His batting average is up to .310 and Davis has 5hr to go with the lofty BAvg.  He has slowed considerably in striking out, but still represents an awful 23K in 71AB, almost 33%!!  Fantasy Advice:  Look for Davis after the top 3B are off the board and expect 30hr.

Taylor Teargarden (C Tex).  Taylor is currently a battle for a starting position with the big switch hitting Jarrod Saltalamachia.  After a slow start Teargarden is beginning to make a case for himself;  .297avg and 3hr.  Fantasy Advice:  As of right now the job goes to Saltalamacchia but Teargarden could take that spot via trade or by performing to the level we expect from him.

Brandon Inge (C Det) Very few people probably even realize Inge does qualify for catcher.  Fantasy Advice:  Any catcher who qualifies and hits 20hr has value. 

Carl Crawford (OF TB)  He’s baaaccckkkk.  Crawford has swiped 7 bags this spring with only 1 caugt stealing.  Fantasy Advice:  Expect numbers around .285 12hr 40sb; lets hope Carl is all done dealing with leg injuries from last year.

Kansas City sent Luke Hochevar(SP) to the minors while giving Sidney Ponson (SP) a chance in the rotation.  Neither warrant any fantasy consideration.

Over in Oakland Brad Ziegler (RP) is going to become a valuable fantasy asset in the absence of Joey Devine and his elbow trouble.  Fantasy Advice:  Add Ziegler in all large mixed or AL only leagues.  Devine has never proved healthy and a visit to Dr. James Andrews is never positive.

Justin Verlander (SP Det) has a deceiving 2.30 era.  Verlander has walked more batters (15) than he has struck out(14).  Fantasy Advice:  At this point Verlander is no higher than top 40, and that may be generous.

Kyle Davies (SP KC) is starting to get some praise by lot’s of baseball people.  Davies is still young (25 years old) and has the ability to put up decent fantasy numbers, evident by last Septembers 4-1   2.27 era display.  Fantasy Advice:  In larger mixed leagues and AL-only leagues Davies now deserves consideration.  He should not be a go to option at this point but may return reliable fantasy numbers in the future.

Watch out for Gavin Floyd (SP ChiW).  Last year Floyd struck out only 145 batters; has 20 strike outs in 21 IP this spring.  Floyd was once a can’t miss, monster prospect with the Phillies organization.  He has a great knock out pitch, his knee buckling curve.  If he keeps pounding the zone, getting ahead of hitters, he will rack up more strikeouts.  Fantasy Advice:  Coming into the season I had Floyd right around top 60, in light of his performance this spring, new contract, and good offensive team I am willing to bump him up a few spots to 45-50 range.

Jon Lester (SP Boston) continues to take steps toward ace material.  More than a strike out per inning with a 1.72 era, on an offensive machine only makes Lester’s value more appealing.  Fantasy Advice:  You will be able to get tremendous value with this pick.  He will be anywhere from the 15th-25th pitcher off the board on draft day.  He might just pitch you a top 10 return as soon as this year. 

Cliff Lee (SP Clev) has been getting pounded this spring.  Lee has given up 37 hits in 16IP.  I know spring stats don’t count for much but they counted for Cliff last year when he had a lights out spring.  His control is still excellent which gives us a sigh of relief; somewhat.  Fantasy Advice:  I’m looking for Lee to take a step back this year but still put up respectable numbers.  He is a top 30 pitcher at this point in my rankings.

Nick Adenhart (SP ANA) is the beneficiary of injuries to the Angels staff.  With injuries to John Lackey, Ervin Santana and Kelvim Escobar, Adenhart now has the opportunity to start a few games for the Angles this April.  If he pitches well, who knows what could happen from there.  His spring stats are 3.26era  19IP  13/4  K/BB ratio.  Fantasy Advice:  Take a flier on Adenhart in larger mixed leagues, he has the ability to pitch himself into the rotation even as the other return from injuries.

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